Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, the much-anticipated sequel to 2015's Jurassic World, doesn't arrive for American audiences for another two weeks, but by the time it roars into domestic theaters, it will very likely already be the top film at the global box office.
Usually you don't see those "No. 1 Movie in the World" victory lap TV spots until after a movie's hit big in North America, but Fallen Kingdom will begin its massive international rollout Wednesday in Korea, France, and Germany, with other major markets like Russia, the United Kingdom, Italy, and Spain landing throughout the rest of the weekend. By the time Monday rolls around, box-office projections put Fallen Kingdom's global take in those markets alone at somewhere between $130-$150 million, according to Deadline.
Add that to the $150 million the film is projected to earn upon its North American release, and whatever it hauls in from China next weekend (Jurassic World opened to $99 million there in 2015), and June is looking very good indeed for the Jurassic franchise. The international rollout strategy this time is a bit different than Jurassic World's, but that's partly due to the impending World Cup soccer tournament (something people really like to stay home and watch in many of these international markets) and partly due to a bit of an opening in international markets right now, since Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2, and Solo: A Star Wars Story have already made their way out into the world.
So, how does this stack up against Jurassic World? Well, Deadline's experts put its opening in this weekend's international markets below the first film's $158.6 million gross in those same areas (adjusted for current exchange rates) three years ago, but it's important to remember that Jurassic World — like Star Wars: The Force Awakens — was riding a wave of pent-up desire for another massive dinosaur blockbuster. People were eager to take their kids and try to recapture some of that Jurassic Park magic, the film's marketing leaned heavily on John Williams' haunting theme from the original, and it paid off in a big way. Jurassic World ended up earning $1.6 billion worldwide.
Will Fallen Kingdom be able to come close to that? There seems to be cautious optimism for the flick, keeping in mind Jurassic World's high anticipation factor. Early reviews are mixed, but the film could actually benefit from the box-office disappointment that was Solo: A Star Wars Story, in that families might have been saving their box-office money to take the whole gang to see the dinosaurs rather than the Millennium Falcon. There's also the unanswered question of how far this particular release strategy will carry the film in terms of its momentum. We'll find out soon enough.
Jurassic World arrives in U.S. theaters on June 22.