Pacific Rim: Uprising is going to be massive in scale, but its size may not apply to ticket sales, says one report by BoxOffice Pro. Looking at the weekend of March 23, the report concerns three major releases: Pacific Rim, Sherlock Gnomes, and Midnight Sun.
The first two are sequels, while the latter is an American remake of a Japanese film from 2006. Given its major blockbuster status and brand familiarity, Uprising is projected to make the most out of all three domestically, with a proposed $20 million during the first three days.
If these projections hold, things aren't looking good for the robot vs. monster action epic directed by Daredevil showrunner Steven S. DeKnight. For comparison, the first Pacific Rim made over $37 million during its opening weekend and was considered weak at that level. However, that movie's budget was bigger ($190 million) than Uprising, which was made for $150 million. In total, the first film only made back its massive budget thanks to international viewers; the movie was #1 at the international box office by the end of the first weekend and became the sixth largest opening for a Hollywood feature in China, where it passed $100 million after the first month. Notoriously, del Toro was beaten at the box office by Adam Sandler's Grown Ups 2.
It should be noted that BoxOffice Pro's prediction only factors in domestic receipts, which means the Pacific Rim sequel could make another killing overseas. After all, the only reason the franchise got a follow-up is because of the success abroad. Back in 2013, Forbes described the first film as "the rare English-language film in history to cross $400 million while barely crossing $100 million domestic."
We'll just have to wait until March 23 to get a definite answer, but the presence of a big-time star like John Boyega (Star Wars: The Last Jedi) in the lead role could be enough to draw people to the theater for the colossal sci-fi adventure and start goosing these numbers over the next couple of months.