Latest Infinity War box office projections are in, but will it beat Star Wars?

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Apr 25, 2018, 11:06 AM EDT

It does not take a prestidigitator or seer to predict that Avengers: Infinity War is going to be well-attended during its opening weekend. (Our prediction: the number of people who will go see the latest Avengers film in the theatre? Most everyone, give or take a few.) But the figures Variety are offering suggest that it remains on track to have one of the biggest openings of all time. 

The 19th film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe (wow, seriously?) is estimated to rake in $225 million to $245 million for its opening weekend, possibly even making $250 million. This definitely gibes with last week’s report that the third Avengers film was poised to potentially eclipse Star Wars: The Force Awakens’ $248 million domestic weekend box office take. It'd obviously have to come in at the very high end of expectations, but knocking off The Force Awakens certainly remains a possibility.

And this is a pretty substantial leap above the news outlet’s previous estimates released earlier this month that Infinity War was set to make between $175 million and $200 million during its opening weekend.

If the numbers are closer to $250 million, then Infinity War could have one of the biggest weekend debuts ever. And considering Marvel spent upwards of $300 million for Infinity War, they’re going to need those ticket sale proceeds to recoup those massive expenses. That shouldn't be much of a problem, with the film expected to make well over $1 billion globally from its full theatrical run.

The original Avengers brought in $207.4 million during its opening weekend, making it the biggest opener for a Marvel film to-date. Its sequel, Age of Ultron, opened to $191 million domestically.

Infinity War is also coming on the heels of Marvel’s record-breaking Black Panther, which opened to $202 million in February and has earned $1.3 billion worldwide. So, there's already a lot of Marvel love in the air.

Avengers: Infinity War opens April 27. Based on these box office estimates, we’ll most likely see you there. 

(Via Variety)